“Initial cost and schedule estimates for major projects have invariably been over-optimistic. The risk that cost and schedule cannot be determined and constraints will not be met, if cost and schedule estimates are given in terms of single points rather than distributions.”
Final Report of the USAF Academy Risk Analysis Study Team, August 1971
Some Project Risk Analysis Clients
We answer the tough questions with Project Risk Analysis
💸 1. Know What It Will Really Cost — Before You Commit
Stop guessing at budgets. Quantitative risk analysis reveals the true range of project costs — showing you what’s likely, what’s risky, and what’s flat-out impossible.
What you gain:
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Clear, data-driven budget confidence — not wishful estimates.
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Visibility into which costs drive uncertainty (and how to control them).
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Pre- and post-mitigation scenarios that prove your plan’s strength.
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Reports that tell leadership, in plain language, how sure you can be about hitting your number.
⏱️ 2. See When You’ll Actually Deliver — and Why
Simulated schedules expose the truth behind optimistic timelines. We identify which tasks, people, and constraints will make or break your delivery date.
What you gain:
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Realistic completion probabilities you can defend to management.
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Clarity on which activities and resources drive delay risk.
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Scenario analysis to optimize resource use and accelerate delivery.
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Actionable insights that replace project hope with project control.
📈 3. See the Financial Reality Behind Every Decision
Monte-Carlo and time-series simulations turn uncertainty into financial clarity. You’ll see the full distribution of ROI, NPV, and IRR outcomes — not just the averages.
What you gain:
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Quantified upside and downside across multiple what-if scenarios.
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Forward-looking forecasts of costs, benefits, and cash flow.
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A defensible financial case that links risk to business objectives.
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Board-ready visuals that make uncertainty understandable — and actionable.
🦸 4. Choose the Delivery Strategy That Can Take a Punch
We help you find the plan that still wins when things go wrong. By simulating alternative delivery paths, we pinpoint the most resilient, cost-effective strategy for your project.
What you gain:
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A risk-informed delivery plan that stands up to real-world chaos.
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Clear stakeholder communication that builds confidence and alignment.
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Tailored mitigation strategies with partners and suppliers.
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A roadmap that blends performance, risk, and organizational readiness.